China Demand Signal
MTO/MTP operating rates and coastal inventories drive marginal demand; watch turnaround season.
Petrochemicals
Methanol
Methanol market intelligence — pricing trend, regional trade flows, and demand signals across major corridors.
AI Executive Summary
Methanol prices are rising +1.7% MoM (+11.9% YoY) with moderate volatility. Supply tightening; demand firm.
SupplyTighteningDemandFirmRiskModerateFreightRising
Indicative Price
356 USD / MT
Benchmark: Methanol
Month-over-Month
+1.7%
Year-over-Year
+11.9%
Trend
Rising
Supply Status
Tightening
Demand Status
Firm
Freight Status
Rising
Market Risk
Moderate
Indicative Price Trend
Last 12 monthsRegional Trade Flows
Indicative share of trade volume by region.
Supply vs Demand
Indicative ModelGap: +10 · Demand-led
Freight Trend
Indicative ModelTrend: Stable
Regional Comparison
Middle East
East Asia
South Asia
Europe
Risk Heatmap
Indicative Model- Supply RiskElevated
- Demand RiskElevated
- Freight RiskModerate
- Regulatory RiskModerate
- Financial RiskModerate
AI Forecast
Bullish30-Day Outlook
Near-term outlook: upside bias; prices likely to firm.
90-Day Outlook
Medium-term outlook: upside bias; prices likely to firm.
Confidence64%
Indicative, model-based outlook only — not investment or trading advice.
Commodity Insights
Iran Export Capacity
New Gulf capacity expands exportable volumes; logistics and banking access shape realized netbacks.
Freight Environment
Chemical-tanker rates and bunker costs move landed prices into Asia and Europe.
Supply Outlook
Global additions keep balances comfortable; feedstock gas availability is the swing factor.
AI Market Commentary
…
Regional Trade Insights
- Firm Far-East demand is supporting indicative pricing across major corridors.
- Middle East origins remain the primary supply base for export volumes.
- Freight availability is steady, keeping landed costs broadly stable.
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