Market Intelligence
Fertilizers
Seasonal demand, indicative pricing, and regional flows across the fertilizer value chain.
AI Executive Summary
Fertilizers prices are rising +0.4% MoM (+5.1% YoY) with low volatility. Supply tightening; demand firm.
Indicative Price
418 USD / MT
Benchmark: Urea 46%
Month-over-Month
+0.4%
Year-over-Year
+5.1%
Trend
Rising
Supply Status
Tightening
Demand Status
Firm
Freight Status
Stable
Market Risk
Low
Select product
Indicative Price
418 USD / MT
Month-on-Month
+0.4%
Year-on-Year
+5.4%
Trend
Rising
12-Month Price Trend
Last 12 monthsRegional Comparison
| Region | Indicative Price |
|---|---|
| Middle East | 414 USD / MT |
| East Asia | 427 USD / MT |
| South Asia | 406 USD / MT |
| Europe | 435 USD / MT |
Supply vs Demand
Indicative ModelFreight Trend
Indicative ModelTrend: Stable
Regional Comparison
Risk Heatmap
Indicative Model- Supply RiskElevated
- Demand RiskModerate
- Freight RiskLow
- Regulatory RiskModerate
- Financial RiskLow
AI Forecast
Neutral30-Day Outlook
Near-term outlook: range-bound; limited directional bias.
90-Day Outlook
Medium-term outlook: range-bound; limited directional bias.
Indicative, model-based outlook only — not investment or trading advice.
AI Market Commentary
Market News
Fertilizer buyers prepare for planting season
Seasonal demand is supporting indicative urea and DAP pricing.
NEP Seed · 2026-06-09
Last updated: 2026-06-22